Single-cell sequencing has characterized cell state heterogeneity across diverse healthy and malignant tissues. However, the plasticity or heritability of these cell states remains largely unknown. To address this, we introduce PATH (phylogenetic analysis of trait heritability), a framework to quantify cell state heritability versus plasticity and infer cell state transition and proliferation dynamics from single-cell lineage tracing data. Applying PATH to a mouse model of pancreatic cancer, …